摘要
利用Logisitic曲线模型和扩展支撑模型对居民可支配收入预测和单项消费预测,以河北省居民的收入及其消费支出为实例,研究了城镇居民和农民的可支配收入分配和单项边际消费倾向,合理建立了预测模型,并理论计算了1999～2003年的通信消费方面的边际消费倾向、预测了2004～2008年通信消费情况.最后,根据预测结果对通信网络建设提出了一些有价值的建议.
The inhabitant income is forecasted with the Logistic curve model. The single project of the town resident consumption is forecasted by the expanded linear expenditure system. This model is applied to the Hebei inhabitant income and consumption tendency of the single project and the forecast model is set up, The tendency of the communication consumption is calculated with 1999～2003 data and forecasted for the period between 2004 and 2008. Some suggestions on the communication network investment is proposed by this result,
出处
《成都信息工程学院学报》
2005年第6期662-666,共5页
Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology
基金
华信邮电咨询设计研究院有限公司软课题"移动通信网络设计中的经济分析"项目资助(200426)
关键词
可支配收入
LOGISTIC曲线模型
扩展支撑模型
通信消费
经济
governable income
Logistic curve model
expanded linear expenditure system
communication consumption
economy
