供应链产品转移价格突变分析

Analysis on Catastrophe of Production Transfer Price in a Supply Chain

需求不确定下,供应链产品的供给变化总是滞后于市场需求的变化,供应链存在时滞,其结果会导致产品供需间出现明显的非线性关系。突变理论通过特定的几何形状对许多参数连续变化引起的不连续飞跃现象都能加以准确描述,能够对需求不确定下供应链转移价格决策的复杂现象作出较好的解释。本文针对需求不确定下供应链产品转移定价行为的非线性机制,基于尖点突变模型对供应链产品转移价格突变行为进行研究,为需求不确定下供应链产品短期定价提供理论依据。

Due to the existence of such a time lag which is a delay of downstream from placing its orders to receiving the goods in a supply chain, the changes in production supply always fail to meet the changes in the market demand. Therefore it is unavoidable that supply and demand is in non-linear relationship, the production pricing of supply chain in short period is both a main focus and a difficult issue in the field of supply chain management study. The catastrophe theory can describe phenomenon with the independent variables change continuously give rise to discontinuities or transitions through specificall geometry shape, and it can explain some complex phenomenon of the transfer price decision under demand uncertainty. Recently, there are many studies analyzing the problem on price change of dynamic market with catastrophe theory and method and gain satisfying result. However, there is limited literatures that makes some investigation on how exactly the transfer price catastrophe in a supply chain. In this paper, we aim at the nonlinear mechanism of the transfer price decision based on the cusp catastrophe model in a supply chain under demand uncertainty, make a study on the transfer price decision in a supply chain and provide the theoretical gist to studies on the production pricing of supply chain in short period under demand uncertainty.