摘要
With the series of annual and seasonal temperature during 1957 – 2001 in Dongguan, Guangdong, the statistical characteristic and power spectrum and secular trend and sudden change phenomena are computed in this paper. From the results it is known that (1) the temperatures have obvious characteristics of monsoon climate but do not have normal distribution, showing biased distribution of high or low kurtosis; (2) over the recent half- century, the temperatures tend to rise, specially in the last 10 years, in which mean temperature have quickly ascended by about 1.5°C, and except for the spring, there were sudden change of seasonal temperature rising from the 1980’s to 1990’s, which really reflected the influence of developing and opening and urbanization on Dongguan temperature; (3) except for the spring, the temperature of other seasons show some oscillatory periods in Dongguan and some of them also include long-term variation trends.
With the series of annual and seasonal temperature during 1957 - 2001 in Dongguan, Guangdong, the statistical characteristic and power spectrum and secular trend and sudden change phenomena are computed in this paper. From the results it is known that （1） the temperatures have obvious characteristics of monsoon climate but do not have normal distribution, showing biased distribution of high or low kurtosis; （2） over the recent half-century, the temperatures tend to rise, specially in the last 10 years, in which mean temperature have quickly ascended by about 1.5~C, and except for the spring, there were sudden change of seasonal temperature rising from the 1980＇s to 1990＇s, which really reflected the influence of developing and opening and urbanization on Dongguan temperature; （3） except for the spring, the temperature of other seasons show some oscillatory periods in Dongguan and some of them also include long-term variation trends.
关键词
东莞市
温度变化
统计分析
长期趋势
温室效应
characteristics of temperature change
statistical analysis
Dongguan
