2006年中国铁矿业面临的形势

Situation Facing China's Iron Ore Industry in 2006

分析了2005年我国的钢铁生产及铁矿石供应情况:2005年中国钢铁工业产量继续增长,供大于求显现,库存增加,价格下降,效益滑坡;2005年铁矿石供给主要表现在国产铁矿石产量快速增长,进口增速放缓,供需矛盾缓解,价格合理回归,海运费的大幅下降使进口矿到岸价比2004年增长有限。预计在钢铁产量增幅减缓,国际铁矿石产能大幅增加的情况下,铁矿石价格将有一定回落,铁矿采选业出现新的投资风险。

The paper analyzes the situation of China＇s iron and steel production and iron ore supply in 2005, when there was continuous increase of iron and steel production, noticeable greater supply over demand, increased stock, decreased price and down - sliding benefit. The iron ore supply was characterized by rapid increase of domestic iron ore production, slowing down import increase, relaxed contradiction between supply and demand, rational return of the price and limited increase in the C. I. F. price of imported ore due to the great reduction in the ocean freight. It is expected that, with the retarding increase in iron and steel production and the remarkable increase of international iron ore production capacity, the price of iron ore will be reduced in certain degree and new crisis will occur in the investment of iron ore mining and beneficiation industry.