农民工市民化政策博弈分析

A Game Analysis on Citizenry of Peasant Workers

农民工市民化不仅能加快城镇化进程,而且能有效地解决我国“三农”问题。当前,这一政策的实施遇到了一定困难。首先以政府和农民工为对策主体,建立了完全理性和有限理性的静态与动态几种博弈模型;分析了在一定政策环境下,政策和农民工之间的对策,并提出了农民工转化为市民的若干政策建议。在此基础上,将其收益矩阵进行了一般处理,使其结论更具普遍性。博弈分析结果表明现阶段政府不宜采用大规模转化农民工为市民的政策。

Citizenry of peasant workers not only quickens the process of urbanization, but also effectively solves the problems confronting agriculture, rural areas and farmers. However, it has encountered some obstacles in its implementation. This paper establishes several game theory models of perfect and bounded rationality, either stable or dynamic, Furthermore, it analyzes the conflicts between government and peasant workers under specific conditions and puts forward some measures to urbanize farmers. In addition, the paper generalizes payoff matrix which makes the conclusion universal, The game theory proves that it is not time yet for government to transform peasant workers into urban citizens on a large scale.