基于GOMPERTZ函数的上证综合指数预测的实证研究

Positive Analysis of Forecasting Shanghai Composite Index Based on Gompertz Function

对基于G om pertz函数的上证综合指数进行预测的可行性进行了分析,同时,在对上证综合指数的具体走势及实际数据进行研判的基础上,对牛市行情下上证综合指数的运行进行了预测的实证研究,得出了相应的结论,并提出了该预测方法进一步完善之处和可进一步深入研究的问题.

This paper analyzes the feasible of forecasting Shanghai stock exchange composite stock price index with Gompertz function. Beside, discusses the motion of Shanghai composite index, Positive analyzes the forecasting of Shanghai composite index based on Gompertz function in one bull stock market, obtaines some profitable results. Finally, some major problems of the forecasting method are provided to continued study.