2005年中国经济回顾及2006年展望

Chinese economy: Review 2005 and Forecast 2006

2005年中国经济在房地产、汽车消费需求的拉动,固定资产更新的影响下,保持了本次经济周期呈现的平稳、高增长、低膨胀特点。预计2006年,中国经济在保持增长趋势的前提下,将受到贸易顺差、产能过剩、农民增收难度加大等不利因素的影响,经济增长速度将会从9%以上的高位上滑落下来,价格总水平也将降低。初步预测,2006年中国经济增长速度将保持在8%～8.5%,价格总水平上涨0%～1%。

Under the effects of huge market demands for real estate, automobiles and fixed assets, Chinese economy kept the features which has emerged in this economic cycle such as stability, high level growth and low inflation. It is forecast that Chinese economy will keep its growing tends in 2006, but it will be affected by favorable balance of international trade ,overproduction and farmers＇ low income, Theretbre its growth speed will slow down from 9% and the general price level will go down either. We believe that the speed of Chinese economy growth will be kept between 8% and 8.5%, and the general price level will be 0%-1%.