贵州经济增长的影响因素研究:计量模型及实证分析

Influencing Factors of Economic Growth in Guizhou: Econometric Model and Empirical Analysis

贵州目前的主要经济指标与全国平均水平相比仍有很大差距。借鉴C-D生产函数,选取物质资本、人力资本以及劳动力作为经济增长的主要影响因素,建立经济增长的模型并对这些因素进行实证分析,得出的结论是:贵州要保持经济的持续增长,需要从树立科学的发展观、加快产业结构调整、重视人力资本投资以提高劳动者素质、降低农村人口比重、加快城镇化进程以及进行制度创新等方面进行努力。

There is still a wide gap between main economic indicators in Guizhou and the national average. Drawing on the C-D production function, the paper selects physical capital , human capital and labor as the main influencing factors of economic growth and establishes a model of economic growth to empirically analyze these factors. The results indicate that to maintain sustained growth, Guizhou needs to work on establishing a scientific outlook on development, promoting industrial restructuring, emphasizing human capital investment and raising the qualities of labor force, cutting down the share of rural population and quickening urbanization and carrying out institutional innovations.