摘要
根据上海市奉贤地区电量增长、电量构成及负荷分布特点等情况,以GDP、人口、历史电力数据等参数,采用主要地块负荷密度法预测2010年该地区负荷及2020年远景负荷,并用回归模型预测法对预测结果进行校验。
According to the growth characteristics and structure of power consumption, as well as the load distribution in Fengxian area, the load density method was adopted to forecast the load of this area in the years of 2010 and 2020, based on the data of GDP, population, and historical electricity consumption. The forecasting results are verified by using regression model method.
出处
《华东电力》
北大核心
2006年第1期72-73,共2页
East China Electric Power
关键词
负荷预测
电力需求
负荷密度法
load forecasting
power demand
load density method