转轨国家的汇率制度改革及对中国的启示

Exchange Rate Regimes Reform in Transition Economics and Apocalypse for China

汇率作为开放经济下的关键经济变量,在发展中国家及经济转轨国家的经济体制改革中起着非常重要的作用。具有特色的6个中、东欧转轨国家(波兰、捷克、匈牙利、保加利亚、罗马尼亚和俄罗斯),汇率制度变迁表明,影响汇率制度选择的主要经济因素为经济稳定程度、经济规模、经济发展水平和经济开放度。这些影响转轨国家汇率变迁的经济因素,对于确立中国汇率制度的改革方向,即实行真正意义上的管理浮动汇率制也具有影响。

Exchange rate is key variable in open economy, it play the key role for developing country and transition country＇s reform. This paper mostly select 6 Center and Esatern-Europen countries （Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Romania, Russia）, they are characteristic Transition country. Through the analysis variance in exchange rate regimes, This paper explore the key economy factor that effect selective in exchange rate regimes,namely economic stability degree, economic size, economic develop level and economic open. On the basis of analysis transition RMB exchange rate regimes, This paper discuss the exchange rate regimes reform in china, namely carry out management float exchange rate regimes in deed.