情境缺场到情境敏感——确证悖论研究的进展与启示

From Situation-absent to Situation-sensitive—The Development and Inspiration of Confirmation Paradoxes Research

确证悖论是一个重大的逻辑哲学和科学哲学问题,围绕着它主要有三类解决方案被提了出来。这三类方案之间有内在的逻辑-历史关联,它们是逐层发展的,并实现了从情境缺场到情境迟钝的转向。确证悖论研究历史和最新成果向我们启示:确证悖论的良好解悖方案应该是情境敏感型的,确证悖论的研究将实现第二次转向,即从情境迟钝转向情境敏感。

Confirmation paredox is an important problem in philosophy of logic and philosophy of science. Many solutions have been proposed, and they fall into three approaches. There is an inner logical- historical connection among the three approaches. That is to say, the three approaches have developed step by step and they have turned from situation - absent to situation - insensitive. The last fruits and the history of confirmation paradoxes research inspire us that a good solution to confirmation paradoxes should be situation - sensitive, which means the research on confirmation paradoxes will realize the second turn——from situation- insensitive to situation- sensitive.