构建人口结构安全预警系统初探

A Preliminary Analysis of Building the Population Structure Security Pre-Warning System

人口结构安全的实现将是解决整个人口安全问题的重要基础之一。基于预防预控人口结构安全隐患的现实需要,根据人口学理论和危机管理理论,构建了人口结构安全预警系统的基本框架,其中重点探讨了人口结构预警指标体系、安全阀警戒线的确立,以及模拟评估子系统的建立。

The realization of population structure security will be one of the important foundations of solving the problem of population security.To prevent the hidden trouble of the population structure security,according to the demographic theory and the crisis management theory,in this paper,the author builds the basic frame of the Population Structure Security Pre-Warning System,and discusses in detail the Pre-Warning index system and the simulation evaluation subsystem of population structure.