目前我国出现通货膨胀压力的成因及对策研究

A STUDY OF THE CONTRIBUTING FACTORS FOR THE FORMATION OF INFLATION PRESSURE IN CHINA AND THE COUNTERMEASURES FOR ITS SOLUTION

目前全国商品零售物价自2004年1月以来连续13个月出现正增长,在2004年10月达3.1%。居民消费价格指数也开始出现持续的正增长,在2004年7月和8月高达5.3%。工业品的出厂价格也由2002年负增长转为2003年正增长,2004年高达6.1%,原材料购进价格也持续正增长。此次的三大物价指数全面上涨,表明我国出现了新一轮的通货膨胀压力。从目前出现的通货膨胀压力的现象出发,寻求其成因并提出对策建议。

Positive increase in the national general retail price index （GRPI） has been maintained for 13 successive months since January, 2004 in China, its maximum increase being 3.1% in October. Standing positive increase of consumer price index has also been observed and was as high as 5.3% in July and August, 2004. The increase of ex - factory price of industrial products turned from negative in 2002 to positive in 2003, with an increase rate of 6. 1%. The purchase price of raw and semi - finished materials has also increased steadily. The general increase in the thlee major price indexes shows that a new round of inflation pressure is approaching in China. This paper discusses the underlying causes for inflation pressure and offers some suggestions for its solution.