D-S证据理论在潜艇威胁判断中的应用

Application of D-S Evidence Theory to Submarine Threat Evaluation

简要介绍了潜艇威胁判断原理和D-S证据推理基本思想。针对潜艇水下收集目标信息的特点,引入了D-S证据推理系统分析了潜艇威胁判断中的两个关键性环节。判断目标发现本艇与否、判断目标可能采取的攻防决策问题,在把不确定推理应用于潜艇威胁判断研究上作了初步尝试。

The paper simply introduces the principles of submarine threat evaluation and the Dempstershafer evidence theory. According to the character of submarine combat information environment, the paper analyzed in detail some problems in the submarine threat evaluation with D-S evidence theory, which are the stealth evaluation, the judgment about attacking or defence. This paper make a first try on applying the D-S evidence reasoning to submarine threat evaluation.