再制造系统中专业拆解中心货源预测及决策

Decision and Prediction of Supply of Goods for Disassemble Centers of Remanufacturing

在再制造过程中,制造商倾向于把废旧产品的拆解外包给专业拆解中心,而专业拆解中心更关心自己的赢利情况.在给出专业拆解中心运营模式基础上,分析专业拆解中心赢利的关键因素——货源,利用马尔科夫理论对货源进行预测及决策,最后利用停时理论对货源进行优化.

During remanufacturing, manufacturing companies are willing to let the specialized disassemble centers disassemble recycled products. However, the specialized disassemble centers especially concern about their profits. Based on the given operating model of the specialized disassemble centers, Supply of goods, the key factor of profit-making is studied. Decision and Prediction of supply of goods in Markov theory are presented; optimization of supply of goods is also studied in stop time theory.