铁路客运站旅客最高聚集人数计算方法研究

Research on the Methods of Calculating the Maximum Assembling at Railway Passenger Stations

最高聚集人数是研究铁路客运站站舍能力与规模的核心。在对既有铁路客运站旅客最高聚集人数计算方法研究的基础上,提出3种新的计算方法,即概率法、最坏情景法、模拟法,同时提出了各种方法参数的建议值。最后,以北京西、北京、广州东站和樟木头站为例对传统方法中的聚集系数法和3种新方法进行验证。

Maximum assembling is the core of the design of the railway passenger station capacity and scale. Based on the study of the existing calculating methods, three new methods, namely the Probability Method, Worst-situation Method and Simulation Method, are proposed and the suggested values of their parameters are given. The Assembling-coefficient Method of the existing methods and the three new methods are tested by the cases of the Beijing West Station, Beijing Station, Guangzhou East Station and Zhangmutou Station.