地缘政治的回归与九一一事件后美俄关系的嬗变——以中亚为个案的分析

Return of Geopolitics and the Evolution of Us-Russian Relations after the September 11 Incident ——An Analysis based on the Case of Central Asia

2001年九一一事件后,美俄关系的一个显著特征就是地缘政治的回归。九一一事件爆发后,俄罗斯一度放弃传统地缘政治观念,与美国进行反恐合作,希望以配合美国反恐战争来换取美俄关系的全面改善。然而,局势的演变使得俄罗斯发现,美国丝毫没有因为俄罗斯的善意而改变自己在地缘上继续挤压、遏制俄罗斯战略空间的政策。地缘政治博弈重新成为美俄关系的主线,而这一点在中亚地区表现得尤为明显。在今后相当长一段时间内,美俄关系的主要内容仍将是两国传统利益,特别是地缘政治利益的继续博弈。这种矛盾冲突只有到美国认为俄罗斯已没有任何可能重新“恢复帝国”,而俄罗斯也甘愿满足做一个欧亚大陆腹地的地区大国这么一个角色时才可能告一段落。

A significant feature marking US-Russian ties after the September 11 Incident in 2001 was the return of geopolitics. In the aftermaths of the world shocking New York assault, Russia once dropped its geopolitical concept and went in for cooperation with the USA in an anti-terrorist war to seek overall rapprochement with the USA. But with the change of the events, Russia found out that the USA did not in the least change its geopolitics of squeezing and containing Russia because of its good will. Geopolitical political game became once again the main scene in US-Russian ties, especially prominently in Central Asia. In a considerably long time to come, US-Russian ties will remain dominated by the continuous game between their traditional interests and especially their geopolitical interests. This contradiction and conflict will persist until the USA thinks it absolutely impossible for Russia to restore its empire and Russia is reconciled to its role as a regional power in the Euro-Asian continent. [HJ*2/5]