摘要
本文以国家统计局发布的1987—2002年统计数据为基础，运用计量经济学中GrangerCausality因果关系检验法和回归分析法对中国经济增长与技术市场发展之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明：中国经济增长与技术市场发展之间不存在着明显的因果关系；1987～2002年间，技术市场发展对我国经济增长的贡献率约为15．80％，表明技术市场发展在一定程度上促进了我国经济的增长，但作用还不是很大。
Based on the data from 1952 to 2002 released by China Statistical Bureau, this paper analyzes the relationship between economic growth and technical market development by using granger causality test and regression analysis. After detailed research, some results have been concluded： the two way causality between economic growth and technical market development is not very clear; the contribution rate of technical market development to economic growth is about 24.23% , this fact shows that technical market development drives economic growth to a certain extent.
出处
《科学学研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2006年第1期62-66,共5页
Studies in Science of Science
关键词
经济增长
技术市场
因果关系检验
回归分析法
贡献率
economic growth
technical market development
granger causality
regression analysis
contribution rate
