桃花迟早年型的冬季气候特点及花期预测

Winter Climatic Characteristics and Peach Florescence

对广西桂林市桃花迟早年型冬季气候特点分析表明,桃花偏早年型具有冬季降雨量偏多,12月中下旬气温偏低,1月下旬至2月下旬气温偏高等主要特征。用模糊数学方法对桃花迟早年型进行预测,可为旅游业提供气象服务。

Based on the meteorological observations and the peach florescence at Guigang, Guangxi from 1983 to 2004, the relationship between the winter climatic characteristics and the peach florescence at Guigang, Guangxi is analyzed. It shows that when there is more rainfall in winter and lower air temperature in the last two dekad of December, higher air temperature from the last ten days of January to the last ten days of February, the peach florescence will be earlier than normal. A peach florescence forecast model is oestablished by the Fuzy mathmatics method.