摘要
泉特卡洛模拟技术是国外各大石油公司已经普遍使用的风险分析技术,但在我国研究比较少。基于我国的具体情况和研究现状,需要开展以下几点工作:风险评估体系的建立;风险评估模型的建立;风险评估方法的制定;风险评估方法计算机软件系统的开发。将国外先进经济理论与我国石油行业实际相结合,建立既适合我国国情又可与国际接轨的评价体系是非常必要的。
In this paper, Monte Carlo simulation method of risk assessment is studied.Based on the present study situation of our country, several research works must be done: the design of risk assessment system, the defmation of risk assessment model, the constitution of risk assessment method, the development of risk assessement system software. The reseach results can be used as decision-making basis of developing marginal fields.
出处
《中国造船》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2005年第B11期526-529,共4页
Shipbuilding of China
关键词
边际油
风险评估
蒙特卡洛
marginal fields
risk assessment
monte Carlo