辽宁省人才需求量预测

Manpower Requirement Forecasting of Liaoning Province

本文研究了采用Ｈａｍｍｅｒｓｔｅｉｎ模型对辽宁省２０００年的人才需求量进行预测的方法及在市场经济条件下对该模型的修正，同时还提出了在小样本条件下Ｈａｍｍｅｒｓｔｅｉｎ模型是一个非线性模型，它可以预测出当前到目标年度辽宁省的逐年人才需求量．

This paper describes how to forecast manpower requirements of Liaoning Province in 2000 by using the nonlinear Hammerstein model and how to modify it under the condition of Chinese market economy.In the meantime it is stuied how to identify the Hammerstein model by using small sample size.