摘要
本文以八一农学院实习林场为例,用系统动力学的方法对森林资源作动态预测研究,建立了森林资源SD模型,预测到本世纪末的森林资源及木材生产状况,进行多方案模拟比较,并选出最优方案,同时提出研究中出现的问题。
Citing the Tree Farm attached to the August 1st Agricultural College and using the method of system dynamics, this paper makes a study on dynamic estimate of forest resources, which results in establishment of SD modei of forest resources and estimates the forest resources and timber production at the end of this century. On the basis of various simulated comparision an optimum scheme is elected as well as some problems are raised during the study.
关键词
森林资源
动态预测
系统动力学
system dynamics
forest resources
dynamic estimate
