1990～1999年安徽省生态足迹的动态测度与分析

Dynamic calculation and analysis of ecological footprint of Anhui Province from 1990 to 1999.

运用生态足迹方法,对安徽省1990～1999年的生态足迹进行了时间序列的测度,将安徽省资源利用的动态特征融入到生态足迹模型中,在此基础上进行横向和纵向比较.结果表明,1999年安徽省生态足迹在省和国家尺度上都处于不可持续发展状态,而在全球尺度上处于可持续发展状态;1990～1999年,安徽省的人均生态足迹和人均GDP持续增长,万元GDP的生态足迹一直呈现下降趋势.总体上,安徽省1990～1999年的可持续发展状况不容乐观,并在此基础上提出安徽省未来可持续发展的可选途径.

With ecological footprint method, this paper made a time sequence calculation of the ecological footprints of Anhui Province from 1990 to 1999, incorporated the dynamic characteristics of the Province＇s resources utilization into ecological footprint model, and based on these, analyzed the development trend of this Province. The results showed that in 1999, the ecological footprint was not in sustainable development status on the scales of the Province and the whole country, but sustainable on the global scale. From 1990 to 1999, the per capita ecological footprint and per capita GDP of Anhui Province kept increasing, while the ecological footprint of ten thousand Yuan GDP presented dowaward trend, suggesting that the development status of Anhui Province from 1990 to 1999 was not optimistic. The available ways for the sustainable development of Anhui Province in the future were put forward.