摘要
简要说明了GM(1,1)模型预测事故的基本步骤,提出了模型的改进方法,用此方法对某火灾事故进行了预测,并用Matlab语言编程的方法对数据做了处理,结果表明用该方法预测得到的数据与实际数据非常接近。
The basic step of GM （ 1,1 ） model was illustrated firstly in this paper, and an improved measure was put forward. then the fire accidents was predicted by the method, and the data has been dealt with by Matlab. The result indicates that the data predicted with this method are close to real data.
出处
《中国安全生产科学技术》
CAS
2006年第1期62-64,共3页
Journal of Safety Science and Technology
基金
河南省科技攻关项目
关键词
灰色理论
火灾事故
改进模型
grey system theory
fire accidents
improved model
