摘要
根据参考文献[1]中的热带气旋资料,采用因子组合分析方法,找出了影响登陆热带气旋特大降水的主要因子和条件因子以及它们之间的组合关系,建立了热带气旋特大降水的预报判别式,利用此判别式对热带气旋特大降水进行模拟和试报,其结果比较理想。
According to historical data of landing tropical cyclones, the major factors, conditional factors and their combined relation ships are found out and the forecasting formula for supercolossal precipitation of landing tropical cyclone is set up by means of factor combined analysis method. Based on the set-up forecasting formula, the tropical cyclone supercolossal precipitation are simulated and test-forecasted, the rusult is relative ideal.
出处
《海洋预报》
2006年第1期70-75,共6页
Marine Forecasts
关键词
因子组合分析方法
登陆热带气旋
特大降水
预报
factor combined analysis method
landing tropical cyclone
supercolossal precipitation
forecast
