中国石油供需趋势预测及供需矛盾分析

A Forecast and Analysis of China's Oil Demand & Supply Trend and Contradiction

供需矛盾是制约我国石油产业发展的主要因素。本文运用灰色预测等定量方法,对我国石油供需趋势进行预测,并着重对供需矛盾的成因及影响因素进行分析;在此基础上,提出了解决供需矛盾的相应对策,对保障我国石油市场的供需平衡有重要的现实意义。

Demand - supply contradiction is the main constraint factor for future development of China＇s oil industry. By using Gray Model and other quantitative forecast methods, this paper forecasts the demand ＆ supply trend of China＇s oil market, in particular, places emphasis on analyzing the main causes leading to demand - supply contradiction and influence factors. Then, come up with relevant countermeasures to solve the demand - supply contradiction. The study is of great practical significance to the demand- supply balance in China＇s oil market.