摘要
基于文献［１］的增长类型的微分方程式，对实用的逻辑斯谛（ｌｏｇｉｓｔｉｃ）模型进行了简单推导，得出了预测油气田产量、累积产量、可采储量、最高年产量及其发生时间的方法，并得出该模型的有效应用范围为，是在采出可采储量５０％之后的递减阶段。同时，还提出了求解逻辑斯谛模型的自回归法。
Based on the differentiating equation of growth type in Ref.1,this article simply derived the factual Logistic model.The methods for estimating production rate by fields,cumulative production rate,recoverable reserves.peak annual production rate and its year of occurrence were obtained.This model is simply applicable during the period after 50% recoverable reserves were produced.Furthermore.this article presented a self-regression method for solving the Logistic model.
出处
《新疆石油地质》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
1996年第2期150-155,共6页
Xinjiang Petroleum Geology
