《大分流》模型化解析——文化,制度与经济增长

Culture, Systems and Economic Growth: the modeling analysis of The Great Divergence

本文在Stokey(2001)的两部门经济模型的基础上,建立模拟1750—1850期间私有制经济特征的经济模型来拟合于这一时期英国经济和中国江南经济特征。通过经济模型的研究来解释彭慕兰《大分流》所引发热论的关于工业革命发生可能性的系列问题。本文所建模型也可以看成Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans的经典模型的推广。模型揭示出文化制度差异可以导致‘分流’的发生。

This paper rebuilds Stokey＇ s two-department model （2001） to simulate the character of the private economy from 1750 to 1850, on the basis of which to match the British economy with that of the Jiang Nan region of China during this period. Through the study of the economic model, this paper attempts to explain the wealth of questions regarding the outbreak of the Industry Revolution occasioned by Kenneth Pomeranz＇ s The Great Divergence. The economic model that this paper builds is in a way also a derivative of Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans＇ classical model. Its analysis suggests that difference in culture and systems between Britain and Jiang Nan of China may lead to divergence.