对我国经济运行中的菲利普斯曲线关系和通胀预期的实证分析

Positive Analysis on the philip's Curve Relation in Chinese Economy and Inflation Expectation

菲利普斯曲线,是英国经济学家菲利普斯(Phillips)1958年根据英国1861—1957年失业与货币工资率的统计数据提出的一条反映二者关系的经济曲线,经萨缪尔森和索洛的修正后,成为反映通货膨胀与失业和经济增长关系的理论曲线。由于稳定价格、充分就业和经济增长是现代市场经济国家四大宏观经济目标中的三大目标,它们之间的关系如何。

In terms of social integrated economy,philip's curve suggests an economic growth with no GDP gap,i. e. a proper ecomomic growth determined by productivity. The price of a progressive increase in cost should be paid for any departure from the proper growth,the bigger the departure and the longer the time, the greater the price,Therefore,the optimum economic growth is to keep a proper growth ratee-quilibrum growth. This is the truth of philip's curve that built on the natural rate assumption.