基于混沌神经网络的交通事故损失预测

The Loss Prediction of Traffic Accidents Based on Fuzzy Nerve Network

文章应用混沌方法对交通事故损失时间序列进行处理,计算出最大Lyapunov指数,得到最大可预报时间尺度,在此基础上,建立人工神经网络预测混沌时间序列的模型。最后运用该方法对我国交通事故损失进行了预测分析。

The fuzzy method is applied to analyze the data of traffic accident loss which is observed by time sequel, and the largest Lyapunov exponent is calculated. On this basis, the method of forecasting time sequence with artificial neural network is presented. And this method is applied to analyze forecast in our country traffic accident loss.