我国奥运项目布局研究

Research on Olympic Games Events Distribution in China

运用因子分析,将我国各夏季奥运项目群体分为两个因子:竞技实力增长因子和竞技实力下降因子,并根据各因子在反映整体竞技实力上的权重,以及各因子中各项目群体的权重,从定量的角度分析我国奥运项目布局。结果表明,在竞技实力增长因子中以无防型男子命中类、女子制胜类、女子得分类、无防型女子命中类项目群体占有较大的权重;在竞技实力下降因子中,以女子设防型命中类所占的权重最大,男子测量类所占的权重最小;另外,我国奥运竞技实力增长因子在反映整体竞技实力上占有较大的权重(0.69),且该因子总分呈现逐届上升态势;而竞技实力下降因子的权重较小(0.31),该因子总分逐届下降。

The author, using the statistic method of factor analysis, divides each Olympic Games events group in China into two factor： the competition - power growth factor and the competition - power descends factor. And then according to importance degree of each the factor which reflecting the whole competition power and the importance degree of each item in each factor, the author analyzes the distribution of Olympics Games events group with the perspective of quantity. The author obtains some results that it has more importance degree in man＇ s no - defend type, woman＇ s overcome type, woman＇ s get - goal type and woman＇ s no - defend type in the competition- power growth factor; women＇s defend type has the biggest importance degree and men＇s measure type has the least importance degree in competition - power descending factor; the Olympics＇ competition - power growth factor has more important degree （0.69） by reflecting the whole competition power and its total score takes on rising; the Olympics＂ competitionpower descending factor has less important degree（0.31） by reflecting the whole competition power and its total score takes on descending.