我国成品油市场“油荒”现象的动态博弈分析

Dynamic Game Analysis of“Shortage of Oil” in Chinese Refined Oil Market

由于博弈论深刻的理性特征和在市场决策过程中的巨大作用,近年来它越来越受到人们的重视。近期我国成品油市场出现“油荒”经济现象用博弈理论的方法进行了分折与解释,指出现象背后制度性原因,进一步证明了作为博弈规则的制度不仅影响着博弈双方的策略选择,更决定了其博弈的均衡结果。

Because of rational characteristics of game theory and its huge function in the decision-making process, recently more and more people have shown much concern of the game theory in modem economy life. By the method of dynamic game theory, the economy phenomena of ＂shortage of oil＂ in the domestic refined oil market was analyzed and explained,with the intrinsic reason pointed out,which proved that the game rule not only has impacted on the bilateral strategies, but decided their balanced result.