对概率论起源的思考

Research into the Origin of Probability Theory

长期以来,概率论一直被认为是从赌博游戏中产生的。但事实上,赌博游戏由来已久,而概率论却直到17世纪末才诞生。这说明赌博并不是概率论产生的决定性因素。概率论的形成是多种因素结合的结果。文章的目的即在于对这些产生条件进行分析,从而使人们能够清楚地了解影响概率论产生的各种关键性因素。

For a long time,probability theory has been considered to be emerged from the gambling game.But in fact,gambling game is long-standing while probability theory was not born until the end of the 17th century.This proves that the gambling is not the decisive factor that effect probability theory.The forming of probability theory is the result that many kinds of factors combining.The purpose of this paper is to analyze these conditions and then make people understand clearly all the key factors that influence the emergence of probability.