中国产业结构的演变轨迹、σ-收敛性与空间集聚格局

The Evolving Path, σConvergence and Pattern of Space Gather of Industry Structure in China

随着经济的发展,第一产业在社会生产总量中的比重不断下降,第二产业、第三产业的比重则不断上升,社会的主导产业将由第一产业转移到第二产业,再转移到第三产业。中国产业结构演变的轨迹显示:现代中国的主导产业是第二产业而不是第三产业,中国的产业结构还处于由低级阶段向高级阶段演变的过程中;中国产业结构存在σ-收敛性,中国的第三产业还没有得到长足发展,中国经济仍处在工业化中期阶段,还未进入完全工业化时代;中国产业的空间集聚与地域的资源存在明显的相关关系,具备显著的地域特色。

With economic development, the proportion of the first industry in the total production will be going down gradually, and that of the second and third industry will be going up. The dominated industry of the society will change from the first industry to the second industry, and then to the third industry, the industrial structure will evolve from the low level to the high level. The evolving history of industry structure in China shows that the dominant industry is still the second industry, but not the third in China. The industrial structure in China, with σ-convergence, is in the process from lower phrase to the advanced one. The third industry is not well developed and the economy is still in the middle phrase of industrializa- tion, instead of the phrase of complete industrialization. The pattern of space gather is related with nature resources and the features of different districts.