多代高新技术竞争扩散模型

The Multigeneration High Technology Diffusion Model

通常扩散源企业连续推出多代高新技术,在市场上相互竞争、共同扩散.以企业综合质量、高新技术的性能和质量为主要变量,构建了多代高新技术竞争扩散的供求均衡牛型,并对高新技术扩散和采用的动态性进行了分析和模拟.指出更高综合质量的企业总是更早采用新一代高新技术,并且随着新一代技术的引入,上代高新技术的应用率随之降低,更上一代技术则失去市场.

In general, the innovator products multi-generation innovation in order, so the multi-generation high technology will compete and diffuse with each other in the market. Based on the definition of firm＇s synthesis mass, performance and quality of high technology, this paper established a supply-demand equilibrium model of multi generations high technology competition diffusion, analyzed and simulated the dynamics of this model. It pointed out that the higher synthesis mass user adopts a new technology earlier, and after a newer technology is introduced, users gradually switch to the newer technology, and the older technology loses its demand.