新疆居民消费模型的研究与分析

Research and Analysis on the Model of Consumption of Residents in Xinjiang

对新疆1992～2003年消费水平及其影响因素的数据．利用岭回归估计法建立消费模型。结果表明，居民收入的增加对消费水平的提高贡献最大，其中农民收入的增加对消费水平的提高是一个关键问题；其次是银行利率、财政支出、人口增长率、教育状况。并就提高新疆居民消费水平提出了建议。

The paper uses the ridge regression analysis to analyze the data （from 1991-2003）of the consumption and factors which influence consumption of residents in Xinjiang, and obtain the expenditure model. The result shows that the increase of resident＇s income makes the greatest contribution to the increase of the consumption level. Besides that, there are also other different factors that can influence the consumption level of residents,such as increase of peasants＇ income,bank rate,finance expenditure,popula tion growth,education development and so on. Based on the analysis, the paper makes some useful suggestions which may improve the consumption of Xinjiang.