农户生产决策的博弈模型及均衡分析

The Game Theory model and equilibrium analyzing of peasant′s production decision

农业生产决策不均衡成为影响社会资源有效配置、国家粮食安全、社会稳定、经济发展的极大阻碍。文章以博弈论作为分析工具,利用描述农户与农户之间相互影响、相互作用的博弈过程,分别建立农户间相互独立决策和联合决策的博弈模型。通过求解博弈模型的纳什均衡,说明在农民的生产经营中,政府的积极引导和经过政府宏观调控的市场环境可有效提高农民收益。

Unbalanced agricultural production decision becomes the great block that influences social effective distribution of resources, the security of national grain, stability of Society and economic development. The paper regards game theory as the analyses tool, using the describing of influencing among the peasants, the interactional of the Game Theory, set up separate decision and the Game Theory model uniting decision among peasants. Try to explain the government＇s positive guide and the market environment of government＇s macroscopical controls prove in peasants＇income by solving the Game Theory model and Nash Equilibrium model.