地震预报的新方法、新途径

The New Methods of Earthquake Forecast

地震预报,特别是短临预报一直是个世界性的科学难题。介绍了几种地震预报的新方法、新途径,包括:卫星热红外异常法、地震云法、磁暴二倍法、引潮力共振的异常叠加法等。对各种方法,特别是涉及遥感应用的地震预报方法的机理及其优缺点进行了分析和初步总结。希望通过与地震预报常规方法的优势互补,相互印证,从而促进地震预报能够尽早取得突破性进展。

Some new methods,included satellite thermal IR anomaly, earthquake cloud, double magnetic storm time method, the abnormal superimposition of tide-generating foree resonance and so on, are introduced. Then this paper interprets their mechanisms and achievements respectively, their own advantages and disadvantages are also included at last. A breakthrough is anticipated through the reinforcement and testification between these new methods and regular methods in earthquake forecast.