计量经济模型在物流需求预测中的应用

The Application of the Econometrics Model in Estimation of Logistics Demand

在城市物流规划中,物流需求量预测对物流节点的选址、物流节点的规模等一些较为重要的决策,起着非常重要的作用。根据城市人口、消费水平、GDP的变化,利用计量经济学模型可以做到科学的预测城市的物流量增长变化,从而对城市合理的物流规划提供可靠的佐证。

In a program of city logistics, the estimation of logistics quantity demand plays a very important role in deciding some vital strategies, such as the site-selection of logistics nodes, the scale of nodes, etc. It can provide the dependent evidence to a reasonable logistics program of a city by applying the econometrics model to estimate the logistics, quantity demand and increasing change.