市场分割与信贷配给:利率市场化的体制及经济效应

本文对江西赣南17个县的国有银行和农村信用社定价模式进行实证研究,结论如下:第一,城乡金融机构的定价区间存在显著差异说明信贷市场存在城乡之间的分割。第二,至少在利率市场化初期,正规信贷市场的信贷配给更为显著,其直接体现是贷存比的持续下降和民间融资总额的持续攀升。第三,机构的垄断性导致风险定价在当前的信贷市场上不具备现实意义,利率上浮在一定程度上体现为基准利率的上扬。第四,由于金融工具品种限制,利率市场化对居民的金融资产选择不具备事实上的影响,这导致了银行业负债在低利率时期依然保持较大增长,同时在信贷上不得不保持配给,也是民间融资行为居高不下的一个根本原因。就此,本文给出了若干政策性评价。

This paper empirically studies the loan rate pricing by state- owned banks and nn＇al credit cooperatives in 17 counties of south Jiangxi province. Conclusions are as follows. Firstly, loan market is separated between urban and rural areas. Secondly, credit rationing exists. Thirdly, loan rate floating shows as benchmark rate increasing. Finally, interest rate floating shows no significant effect on household financial asset allocation.This paper offers some remarks.