中东安全困境的理论探源

Exploring the Theoretical Source of the Security Dilemma in the Middle East

中东安全困境的历史和现状需要学界从各方面探寻其产生的原因。新现实主义理论认为,国际关系中各行为体在寻求自身安全利益最大化的过程中对他国的权力和意图存在着误判和误读。建构主义认为,各行为体在互动过程中缺乏共有知识。以上两者都导致了安全困境的产生。本文认为,均势难以解决中东地区的安全困境,各方在互动的基础上促进互信、进而建立地区安全机制的现实可能性也较低。

The history and current situation of security dilemma in the Middle East require us to find the origins of the security dilemma. Neo-realism indicates that there exist miscalculation and misperception of other power and intention when every actor seeks to maximize its own security interest, while constructivism suggests that there is a shortage of common knowledge among the actors, thus the security dilemma emerges. The security dilemma in the Middle East cannot be solved by constructing a balance of power or mutual-trust on the basis of the interaction between the actors.