我国生产安全事故的R／S分析

R/S analysis on China industrial accidents

R／S分析方法是一种检验时间序列服从独立随机分布假设或非线性特征的有效工具。本文应用R／S分析方法实测了几类全国安全生产事故Hurst指数,表明几类全国安全生产事故发生具有持续性的特点,研究成果对于指导政府、企业认识安全生产规律,科学决策具有参考意义。

The analytical method, R/S, is a valid tool, which is used to examine time series obedient to independent random distribution assumption or nonlinear characteristic. This paper applies the method to measure Hurst exponents of a few China industrial accident data. The results show that the data have continuous characteristics. The study can guide the government and enterprises make decisions on safety management.