基于灰色马尔可夫模型的施工质量成本预测

Analysis of construction quality cost prediction based on grey markov model

针对随机波动较大的施工质量成本预测问题,结合灰色SCGM(1,1)预测模型和马尔可夫预测模型的优点,建立了灰色马尔可夫SCGM(1,1)预测模型,并以实例证明灰色马尔可夫预测模型对随机波动性较大的施工质量成本的数据列的预测,具有较高的准确性。

Aimed at the problem of prediction for the random and fluctuating of quality cost in construction, the grey markov SCGM （ 1,1 ） prediction model is given, based on combining advantages of grey system prediction model and markov prediction model. And the given example shows that the grey markov prediction model can give a higher prediction precision for the random and fluctuating data series of the quality cost in construction.