天津经济振兴及对未来中国经济发展的影响

The Economic Prosperity of Tianjin and Its Effect on China's Economic Development in the Future

随着天津滨海新区纳入国家区域发展战略,天津经济振兴及其对未来中国经济发展的影响成为人们日益关注的话题。从中国近代工业的发展历史进程看,以天津和上海为龙头的“双峰经济”是对中国一百多年经济发展的恰当概括。向“双峰经济”北部峰顶的回归是历史赋予天津经济的使命。而从天津经济发展的现实看,制造业的“二元结构”特征暴露出天津经济发展中制度创新不足等约束因素。因而,制度创新、生产组织方式创新和自主创新是天津经济振兴进而带动中国北方经济发展的根本途径。

With the Binhai New Area brought into the development strategy of the national regional economy, the economic prosperity of Tianjin and its effect on the economic development of China in the future have become a hot topic of increasing concern among people. It can be seen from the historical course of the development of modern industry of China that ＂two-peak economy＂ represented by Tianjin and Shanghai is an appropriate summary of the economic development of China over one hundred years. It is a historical mission assigned to the economy of Tianjin to return to the north peak of ＂two-peak economy＂. However, looking from the reality of Tianjin^s economic development, the character of dual structure in manufacturing industry reveals some constraint factors such as lack of institutional innovation in the course of Tianjin＇s economic development. Therefore, institutional innovation, production organizational mode innovation and independent innovation will be the fundamental approach to revitalize Tianjin＇s economy and drive the economic development of North China.