消防安全评价体系初探

Preliminary Probe into Fire Safety Assessment System

在消防安全检测的工作中发现,同时也受到安全评价工作的启发,笔者提出在国内推行消防安全评价,发展消防安全评价机构的思路并在理论上、实施手段上进行初探。为此,提出了建立消防安全评价体系,实施消防安全评价的方法———安全控制理论法。该方法是现代控制理论的应用性研究,其目的是对消防安全实现动态的量化的安全管理控制。笔者引入一些学者的研究成果———安全参数及计量标准,对消防系统安全状况进行综合评价;提出了与控制能力C相关的因素,并采用层次分析法(AHP)确定各自的权重;引入安全度的动态模型,其中安全度随系统的安全状况的变化而变化,体现的是系统的危险与控制的矛盾斗争结果。虽然该评价方法的理论、体系和实施研究取得了初步成果,但仍有待进一步完善。

Finding and inspiring from fire safety inspection and safety assessment, to develop fire safety assessment organization and to impement fire safety assessment in China is preliminarily probed into from its theory and implementation measures. The idea to establish fire safety assessment system and implement fire safety method, theoretical safety control method, is suggested. The method is the application of modem control theory; its aim is to realize dynamic quantified safety management control for the fire safety. Same research achievements, safety parameters and measurement criteria, are introduced to comprehensively assess safety situation of the fire fighting system. The relevant factors of control ability C is put forward, their weights are detemained by AHP. The dynamic model of safety degree is introduced, in which the safety degree varies with the variation of the safety situation to reflect the consequence of eontradiction of system risk and eontrol. This assessment method needs to be further perfected.