摘要
针对如何预测水力发电系统未来的发电量,引入灰色系统理论,通过建立GM(1,1)灰色预测模型对某地区历年的用电量进行计算分析,得出的结果与实际相符,证明使用灰色系统理论来预测发电量是可行的.
To forecast the power rate in future, the Gray System theory has been introduced, and the historical data of the electricity consumption in one area has been calculated and analyzed with model GM( 1,1 ), which has proved this method feasible.
出处
《华北水利水电学院学报》
2006年第2期54-56,共3页
North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power
关键词
灰色系统
预测
发电量
Gray System theory
forecasting
power rate