导弹武器系统仿真可信度评估方法研究

Simulation Credibility Evaluation Method for Missile Weapon System

飞航导弹武器系统是一个复杂大系统,复杂的仿真系统的可信度评估是一项关键技术,必须采取有效的手段和方法对整个仿真系统的可信度进行综合评估。关于仿真系统可信度评估的方法有很多如:相似度方法、层次分析方法、模糊综合评判法、CLIMB法和评价树方法等等,该文在综合分析各种方法的基础上,明确仿真可信度的基本概念和可信性评估的一般步骤,给出一个客观的、实用的、量化的、具有可操作性的导弹武器系统可信度评估方法。

The missile weapon system is a large complicated system. Simulation credibility evaluation of complicated system is a key technology . In fact, there are many methods for credibility evaluation . For example： resemble of degree method, analytic hierarchy process , the synthetical fuzzy judgement method,CLIMB method and evaluate tree method and so on, Baseed on the synthetical analysis of all kinds of methods , the basic concept and basic evaluation steps of simulation credibility are given . and an objective, pracital, measurable, exercisable evaluate process is presented in this paper.