中国农民消费行为影响因素分析

Analysis of Influencing Factors on China’s Farmer Consumption Behavior

本文运用现代消费理论和经济计量模型,对中国转型期的农民消费行为影响因素进行实证分析。研究表明,当前影响农民消费行为的因素主要来自包括自然、市场和制度在内的不确定性、对当期收入的过度敏感性,以及农民消费行为所表现出的生命周期特征三个方面,上述影响农民消费的因素实际上反映出了我国农村市场化进程的滞后。因此,要提高农民收入和消费水平,必须积极推动以市场化为核心的农村制度改革。对此,本文提出了一些政策建议。

This text applies the modern consumption theory and econometric model to empirically study China＇s farmer consumption behavior in the period of transition. The study indicates; nowadays, influencing factors of farmer consumption behavior mainly include uncertainty which contains nature uncertainty, market uncertainty and institution uncertainty, excess sensitivity to current income and life-cycle characteristic of farmer consumption behavior. And the conclusion points out that influencing factors on farmer consumption behavior actually reflect the lag in the rural market oriented process. Therefore, it is necessary to actively promote the rural system reform concerning marketization as the core in order to raise the level of farmer＇s income and consumption. Accordingly, this text puts forward some policy advices.