论区域共识的制度化道路——兼论东亚共识的制度化前景

The Road toward Institutionalization of a Regional Collective Identity: Prospects for East Asian Institutionalization

区域共识的国际制度化要具有至少5个方面的基本条件,即区域认同要上升为强势权力的持续意志,要经过预期收益/成本比较,要经过一定时期的成功实践或者试错阶段,要经过持续的、有组织的国际沟通与国际谈判从而形成紧迫的制度化意识,最后往往要经由一个制度化临界点。关于东亚观念的建构及其制度化,目前关键在于:一是要弱化美国在东亚经济合作中的作用,二是要建立中日经济合作轴心,三是要培育强有力的地区国际政治文化。

There are at least five preconditions for the institutionalization of a regional collective identity. First, the regional identity should be raised to the level of the permanent will of the powerful elites. Second, the expected benefits of institutionalization should stand the test of benefit-cost comparisons. Third, a long-term successful practice or test is required before the final institutionalization is to be achieved. Fourth, a compelling awareness of institutionalization must be cultivated out of sustained and organized communication and bargaining. Finally, a critical point of institutionalization must be reached. With regard to the construction and institutionalization of an East Asian identity, the key strategies are: to weaken the role of the United States in East Asian economic cooperation, to construct an axis of Sino-Japanese economic cooperation, and to cultivate a powerful regional political culture.