不过水围堰超标洪水风险率计算

Risk of over-level flood for non-overflow cofferdam

本文应用概率论与随机过程理论，提出了适用于水电工程建设中各不同具体阶段的风险率预测、计算方法和公式，为水电工程决策提供科学依据．

This paper applies the theory of probability and stochastic process to deduce the formula for risk analysis which can be used in different periods of hydroelectric project construction. It helps to establish the scientific basis for decisionmaking of the construction of hydroelectric projects.